All findings · Arctic Open-Water Window

How much did the number of open days a year at Vilkitsky Strait change between the first and last decade of the release record?

Vilkitsky Strait: 6 open days a year then, 83 now

At Vilkitsky Strait, mean open days at the 15 percent ice cutoff rose from 5.8 days a year in 1979-1988 to 82.6 days in 2016-2025 (difference +76.8 days).

These numbers are Arctic Open-Water Window version 1.1, the published package (15 gates in version 1.1).

Chart

From the table

Bar chart of Vilkitsky Strait mean open days in the early and late decade windows.
Mean open days at the 15 percent cutoff, 1979-1988 and 2016-2025.

Reading

What the data shows

For Vilkitsky Strait (nsr-vilkitsky), the mean of open_days_15 on full seasons with a numeric value is 5.8 in 1979-1988 (n=9) and 82.6 in 2016-2025 (n=10). That is a rise of 76.8 days. Seasons with a blank open_days_15 are skipped. An open day is a day when average sea-ice concentration inside the gate polygon sits below the 15 percent cutoff.

Context

Why it matters

Vilkitsky Strait connects the Kara and Laptev seas on the Northern Sea Route. If you track ice-season length on that passage, a longer open season at this gate is a planning input. This finding reports only the release polygon average at 15 percent: not ice thickness, and not a ship route.

Method

How it was measured

An open day is a day when average sea-ice concentration inside the gate polygon sits below the cutoff named in open_days_15. Partial seasons are left out. The early window is 1979 through 1988. The late window is 2016 through 2025. The difference is the later mean minus the earlier mean. This page is the nsr-vilkitsky rows. Early-decade means skip seasons with blank open_days_15. Method on the dataset page.

Limits

What this cannot tell you

Polygon average concentration, not ice thickness or a ship route. The 15 percent cutoff is the strictest of the three. Provisional near-real-time days can change. Early-decade means skip seasons with blank open_days_15. Disclaimer word for word: Not for navigation. Use at your own risk. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind.

Check

Check it yourself

File
arctic/gate_seasons.csv
Column
open_days_15
Row
gate_id nsr-vilkitsky, partial not True, blank open_days_15 skipped, years 1979-1988 (n=9) and 2016-2025 (n=10)
API and assistant
Same key, same data

This API call reads the same cells.

curl "https://api.heimdallresearch.com/v1/arctic/gates/nsr-vilkitsky/seasons" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $HEIMDALL_API_KEY"

This assistant prompt asks for the same cells.

MCP https://api.heimdallresearch.com/mcp question: What is the mean open_days_15 for nsr-vilkitsky in 1979-1988 and in 2016-2025, skipping blank values?

Citation

Dataset citation

Heimdall Research (2026). Arctic Open-Water Window (Version 1.1) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23147722 Concept DOI https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23021977. New version of https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23021978.

Version
1.1
DOI
10.5281/zenodo.23147722

Related

  1. 8 seasons Finding

    Vilkitsky Strait stayed shut in 8 early years. It opened every year from 2016 through 2025.

    Vilkitsky Strait had 8 seasons with zero open days in 1979-1988 and 0 such seasons in 2016-2025.

    Read the finding

    Breakdown

    In 1979-1988, 8 full seasons at nsr-vilkitsky have open_days_15 equal to zero. In 2016-2025, that count is 0. Blank open_days values are not counted as zero.

  2. 53.3 days Finding

    Bering Strait is open 53 more days a year than it was

    At Bering Strait, mean open days at the 15 percent cutoff rose from 143.2 days a year in 1979-1988 to 196.5 days in 2016-2025 (difference +53.3 days).

    Read the finding

    Breakdown

    For bering-strait, mean open_days_15 on full seasons with a numeric value is 143.2 in 1979-1988 (n=8) and 196.5 in 2016-2025 (n=10). The difference is +53.3 days. Seasons with a blank open_days_15 are skipped.

  3. 173 days Finding

    A typical year at Bering Strait has 173 open days

    Over 45 full seasons (1979 to 2025), Bering Strait had a median of 173 open days at the 15 percent cutoff (range 118 to 234).

    Read the finding

    Breakdown

    The gate_trends row for bering-strait at threshold 15 reports median_open_days 173.0 over 45 seasons (2 excluded). Across non-blank open_days_15 values in gate_seasons, the range is 118 to 234.

Not for navigation. Use at your own risk. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind.

Provided as is, without warranty of any kind.

All findings · Arctic Open-Water Window